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TodaySignalsMarketsPortfolio
More
DecisionsWhat CMI took or skippedLive testsForward tests and their limitsFunding carryCarry monitor and live testStrategyEvery rule and its testResults recordPublic, hash-chained recordReviewCharts of past tradesSystem statusData health and latencyHow to read CMISignals, badges and R explainedPlansFree during the betaAbout CMIHow it works
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CMIInsight

Tested trading rules, live-tested records and market intelligence for the most liquid crypto futures. CMI places no orders.

How to read CMIPlansPrivacy

Risk disclosure. CMI publishes rule-based market information and trade plans. It is not investment advice and not a personal recommendation. Crypto futures are highly volatile; leverage magnifies losses and stops can fill at worse prices in fast markets. Signals marked Live test come from rules still in their forward test. Past results do not predict future results. Trade only with money you can afford to lose.

Signals

Complete trade plans — entry, stop, targets and the size for your risk — from three tested rules: the daily trend (TF1), tall chart patterns (PQ1) and crash bounces (LQ1). At most two a day are sent as Daily Picks. All are live tests until their forward tests pass.

Total market cap $2.78T-1.15% in 24 hBTC dominance 59.5%Source: CoinMarketCap

New signals — entry open (0)

No signal can be entered right now.

New signals appear when a rule triggers at a bar close: the daily trend at 00:00 UTC, chart patterns at 4-hour closes, crash bounces at any hour. The entry is a market order in the next 15 minutes and the pick is sent to Telegram at the same moment. The radar below shows which coins are closest to a trend signal.

Watch today — near a breakout

Updated every hour from the latest price. Telegram sends one heads-up per coin when it gets near, and one if it moves above the level.

No coin is within a heads-up of its breakout level on the live price right now.

Heads-up only: a daily close above the level at 00:00 UTC meets the entry rule, and the signal is sent then (a safety gate can still block it). Until the close the price can fall back. Nothing to do yet.

Crash watch — forced selling

Checked every hour on all coins. Telegram sends one message per coin and crash.

  • Crash ALGO 2026-10-08 15:00 UTC · 14 h ago

    Price -10.6% in 4 hours (1.6 × a normal day's range) while open interest fell 14.6%: leveraged longs were liquidated.

  • Crash NMR 2026-10-07 15:00 UTC · 38 h ago

    Price -13.5% in 4 hours (1.7 × a normal day's range) while open interest fell 15.0%: leveraged longs were liquidated.

A crash here means the price fell more than 1.5 normal daily ranges in 4 hours while open interest dropped at least 8 % — leveraged longs being liquidated. In the 2024–26 test 9 of 13 such cases bounced, far too few to rely on. No entry is suggested.

Trend radar — closest to a signal

Every coin measured against the entry rule at the last daily close.

Market: strong0 at or near a breakoutNew highs 0 · New lows 4

Trend radar
CoinStatusDaily closeBreakout levelDistancevs trend lineTypical day
BTC▲ Uptrend81,711.0087,385.10+6.94%+7.80%2.8%
BNB▲ Uptrend735.770811.180+10.25%+5.99%3.3%
AAVE▲ Uptrend166.050187.880+13.15%+32.27%

📰 Market news — last 24 hours

  • Solana is about to halve its block times as final 200-millisecond upgrade nears

    CoinDesk · 22 min ago · SOL

  • XRP Ledger adds new controls for banks, stablecoins and tokenized funds

    CoinDesk · 36 min ago · XRP

  • Ether bets were wiped out at six times bitcoin’s rate in crypto’s $1 billion flush

    CoinDesk · 53 min ago · BTC, ETH

  • Bitcoin rebounds to $82,000 as Trump rules out Iran strikes, oil drops

    CoinDesk · 2 h ago · BTC

  • Thailand finalizes rules paving way for Bitcoin, Ether ETFs

    Cointelegraph · 2 h ago · BTC, ETH

  • Cantor Fitzgerald faces Senate Democrat’s probe over Tether ties

Win / loss record

StrategyStatusClosed liveLive win rateLive averageSelf-test tradesSelf-test win rateSelf-test averageSelf-test total
DailyPicks-v1 Daily picks: TF1 + PQ1 + LQ1, at most 2 a dayLive test10%-1.03R55247%-0.01R-3.66R
LQ1 Crash bounceLive test0——1362%+0.15R+1.93R
PQ1 Tall chart pattern (PQ1)Live test10%-1.03R42451%-0.02R-7.87R
TF1 Daily trend followingLive test0——11531%+0.02R+2.27R

counts only signals sent in real time. counts trades the same rule found when the system replayed recent history at start-up — the same engine and costs, but never sent, so they are shown separately. All results are after fees and funding; R = result in multiples of the risk per trade. Each live test is judged once, at the sample size fixed before it started — see . Backtest evidence and every tested rule are on the .

Running trades — follow only (12)

Their entry has passed, so they cannot be taken as planned. They are tracked to the end so every result — win or loss — is counted.

🔴

FET/USDT

▼ SHORTIn trade58 min ago

⛔ Entry closed — this trade started 2026-10-09 04:00 UTC. Do not enter now; follow it to see how the rule performs.

🏦 Exchanges
Binance / Bybit / MEXC
📉 Signal type
Tall chart pattern (PQ1) (Short)
⚡ Leverage
Isolated, up to 5x
🎯 Entry (filled)
0.22038
💰 TP 1 (close half)
0.20230-8.17%
💰 TP 2
0.16970-22.97%
Stop loss

Recent results

🟢

AVAX/USDT

▲ LONGStopped out3 d ago
🏦 Exchanges
Binance / Bybit / MEXC
📈 Signal type
Tall chart pattern (PQ1) (Long)
⚡ Leverage
Isolated, up to 7x
🎯 Entry (filled)
11.432
💰 TP 1 (close half)
12.158+6.35%
💰 TP 2
12.884+12.70%
🛑 Stop loss
10.706-6.35%
⌛ Max duration
6.3%
ETH▲ Uptrend2,473.872,806.76+13.46%+5.89%3.8%
SOL▲ Uptrend109.560124.990+14.08%+11.45%4.7%
FIL▲ Uptrend1.06841.2310+15.22%+21.74%8.4%
LTC▲ Uptrend63.13074.990+18.79%+13.97%5.1%
AVAX▲ Uptrend10.06912.007+19.25%+18.18%6.8%
ALGO▲ Uptrend0.117270.14047+19.78%+16.20%7.9%
XRP▲ Uptrend1.37931.6582+20.22%+3.34%5.7%
ADA▲ Uptrend0.232000.28250+21.77%+7.02%7.3%
XLM▲ Uptrend0.191890.23711+23.57%+0.20%6.7%
ICP▲ Uptrend2.91203.6070+23.87%+8.31%8.1%
CRV▲ Uptrend0.335500.41580+23.93%+9.74%9.1%
LINK▲ Uptrend12.70215.771+24.16%+13.24%6.2%
SUI▲ Uptrend1.04051.2969+24.64%+17.51%7.9%
NEAR▲ Uptrend4.46205.5800+25.06%+52.84%10.8%
FET▲ Uptrend0.215900.27230+26.12%+16.12%9.2%
NMR▲ Uptrend13.97017.869+27.91%+42.81%9.4%
CELO▲ Uptrend0.092060.11957+29.88%+13.78%7.4%
1000PEPE▲ Uptrend0.003830.00537+40.28%+5.94%8.3%
ZEC▲ Uptrend1,186.351,699.00+43.21%+23.80%10.0%
HBAR▲ Uptrend0.090280.13099+45.09%+8.33%7.7%
DASH▲ Uptrend50.56073.660+45.69%+5.48%10.2%
ARB▲ Uptrend0.172610.25569+48.13%+21.39%10.8%
UNI▲ Uptrend7.114010.953+53.96%+17.87%10.0%
QNT▲ Uptrend236.430374.500+58.40%+118.91%12.8%
ONE▲ Uptrend0.002180.00523+140.01%+33.91%20.8%
DOGE▼ Downtrend0.084010.10594+26.10%-2.58%6.3%
BCH▼ Downtrend270.980366.440+35.23%-0.48%6.8%

A long signal needs a daily close above the breakout level (20-day high) while above the 100-day trend line. Measured at the last closed daily candle (2026-10-09 00:00 UTC); it is information, not a signal.

Cointelegraph · 4 h ago

  • China’s P2P stablecoin wallets surge 43x, Korea’s $450B crypto economy: Asia Express

    Cointelegraph · 6 h ago

  • AI Startup Manus Raises $500 Million After China Nixed Meta’s $2 Billion Acquisition

    Decrypt · 7 h ago

  • Headlines from the publishers' official feeds, linked to the original articles. For context only — signals never depend on news.

    Live
    Self-test
    Live tests
    strategy page
    🛑
    0.23830+8.17%
    ⌛ Max duration
    10 days
    TP1 = 1RTP2 = 2.81RLive test
    📝 Why this signal

    4-hour head and shoulders: close 0.2203 broke the neckline 0.221; measured target 0.1697.

    At TP 1 half the position is closed and the stop moves to the entry. A trade still open after 240 hours is closed.

    🟢

    ALGO/USDT

    ▲ LONGIn trade14 h ago

    ⛔ Entry closed — this trade started 2026-10-08 15:00 UTC. Do not enter now; follow it to see how the rule performs.

    🏦 Exchanges
    Binance / Bybit / MEXC
    📈 Signal type
    Crash bounce (Long)
    ⚡ Leverage
    Isolated, up to 6x
    🎯 Entry (filled)
    0.11986
    💰 TP 1 (close half)
    0.12867+7.35%
    💰 TP 2
    0.13748+14.70%
    🛑 Stop loss
    0.11105-7.35%
    ⌛ Max duration
    2 days
    TP1 = 1RTP2 = 2RLive test
    📝 Why this signal

    a 1.61264 × daily-range fall in 4 hours with open interest down 14.5908%: forced selling.

    At TP 1 half the position is closed and the stop moves to the entry. A trade still open after 48 hours is closed.

    🔴

    AVAX/USDT

    ▼ SHORTTP1 hit — stop moved to entry17 h ago

    ⛔ Entry closed — this trade started 2026-10-08 12:00 UTC. Do not enter now; follow it to see how the rule performs.

    🏦 Exchanges
    Binance / Bybit / MEXC
    📉 Signal type
    Tall chart pattern (PQ1) (Short)
    ⚡ Leverage
    Isolated, up to 6x
    🎯 Entry (filled)
    10.733
    💰 TP 1 (close half)
    9.9900-6.93%
    💰 TP 2
    9.2460-13.86%
    🛑 Stop loss
    11.478+6.93%
    🔁 Current stop (moved)
    10.725-0.07%
    ⌛ Max duration
    10 days
    TP1 = 1RTP2 = 2RLive test
    📝 Why this signal

    4-hour head and shoulders: close 10.734 broke the neckline 10.762; measured target 9.24677.

    At TP 1 half the position is closed and the stop moves to the entry. A trade still open after 240 hours is closed.

    Found by start-up replays — never sent (9)

    The same rules on the hours CMI was offline or restarting. Tracked like the others, counted separately as self-test.

    🔴

    DASH/USDT

    ▼ SHORTTP1 hit — stop moved to entry8 d ago

    ⛔ Entry closed — this trade started 2026-10-01 16:00 UTC (found by a start-up replay, never sent live). Do not enter now; follow it to see how the rule performs.

    🏦 Exchanges
    Binance / Bybit / MEXC
    📉 Signal type
    Tall chart pattern (PQ1) (Short)
    ⚡ Leverage
    Isolated, up to 5x
    🎯 Entry (filled)
    58.744
    💰 TP 1 (close half)
    53.540-8.88%
    💰 TP 2
    44.030-25.07%
    🛑 Stop loss
    63.980+8.88%
    🔁 Current stop (moved)
    58.700-0.08%
    ⌛ Max duration
    10 days
    TP1 = 1RTP2 = 2.82RLive testReplay · not sent live
    📝 Why this signal

    4-hour head and shoulders: close 58.76 broke the neckline 58.85; measured target 44.04.

    At TP 1 half the position is closed and the stop moves to the entry. A trade still open after 240 hours is closed.

    🟢

    AAVE/USDT

    ▲ LONGIn trade9 d ago

    ⛔ Entry closed — this trade started 2026-09-30 00:00 UTC (found by a start-up replay, never sent live). Do not enter now; follow it to see how the rule performs.

    🏦 Exchanges
    Binance / Bybit / MEXC
    📈 Signal type
    Daily trend following (Long)
    ⚡ Leverage
    Isolated, up to 2x
    🎯 Entry (filled)
    165.227
    💰 TP 1 (close half)
    226.090+36.85%
    💰 TP 2
    Trailing stop
    🛑 Stop loss
    134.770-18.43%
    🔁 Current stop (moved)
    🟢

    ADA/USDT

    ▲ LONGIn trade17 d ago

    ⛔ Entry closed — this trade started 2026-09-22 00:00 UTC (found by a start-up replay, never sent live). Do not enter now; follow it to see how the rule performs.

    🏦 Exchanges
    Binance / Bybit / MEXC
    📈 Signal type
    Daily trend following (Long)
    ⚡ Leverage
    Isolated, up to 2x
    🎯 Entry (filled)
    0.24512
    💰 TP 1 (close half)
    0.32890+34.19%
    💰 TP 2
    Trailing stop
    🛑 Stop loss
    0.20320-17.10%
    🔁 Current stop (moved)
    🟢

    FET/USDT

    ▲ LONGIn trade17 d ago

    ⛔ Entry closed — this trade started 2026-09-22 00:00 UTC (found by a start-up replay, never sent live). Do not enter now; follow it to see how the rule performs.

    🏦 Exchanges
    Binance / Bybit / MEXC
    📈 Signal type
    Daily trend following (Long)
    ⚡ Leverage
    Isolated, up to 2x
    🎯 Entry (filled)
    0.20512
    💰 TP 1 (close half)
    0.28690+39.88%
    💰 TP 2
    Trailing stop
    🛑 Stop loss
    0.16420-19.94%
    🔁 Current stop (moved)
    🟢

    ALGO/USDT

    ▲ LONGTP1 hit — stop moved to entry19 d ago

    ⛔ Entry closed — this trade started 2026-09-20 00:00 UTC (found by a start-up replay, never sent live). Do not enter now; follow it to see how the rule performs.

    🏦 Exchanges
    Binance / Bybit / MEXC
    📈 Signal type
    Daily trend following (Long)
    ⚡ Leverage
    Isolated, up to 2x
    🎯 Entry (filled)
    0.10500
    💰 TP 1 (close half)
    0.14148+34.74%
    💰 TP 2
    Trailing stop
    🛑 Stop loss
    0.08676-17.37%
    🔁 Current stop (moved)
    🟢

    NEAR/USDT

    ▲ LONGTP1 hit — stop moved to entry32 d ago

    ⛔ Entry closed — this trade started 2026-09-07 00:00 UTC (found by a start-up replay, never sent live). Do not enter now; follow it to see how the rule performs.

    🏦 Exchanges
    Binance / Bybit / MEXC
    📈 Signal type
    Daily trend following (Long)
    ⚡ Leverage
    Isolated, up to 2x
    🎯 Entry (filled)
    2.4392
    💰 TP 1 (close half)
    3.3370+36.82%
    💰 TP 2
    Trailing stop
    🛑 Stop loss
    1.9900-18.41%
    🔁 Current stop (moved)
    🟢

    CELO/USDT

    ▲ LONGTP1 hit — stop moved to entry48 d ago

    ⛔ Entry closed — this trade started 2026-08-22 00:00 UTC (found by a start-up replay, never sent live). Do not enter now; follow it to see how the rule performs.

    🏦 Exchanges
    Binance / Bybit / MEXC
    📈 Signal type
    Daily trend following (Long)
    ⚡ Leverage
    Isolated, up to 3x
    🎯 Entry (filled)
    0.07408
    💰 TP 1 (close half)
    0.09501+28.27%
    💰 TP 2
    Trailing stop
    🛑 Stop loss
    0.06360-14.14%
    🔁 Current stop (moved)
    🟢

    AVAX/USDT

    ▲ LONGTP1 hit — stop moved to entry49 d ago

    ⛔ Entry closed — this trade started 2026-08-21 00:00 UTC (found by a start-up replay, never sent live). Do not enter now; follow it to see how the rule performs.

    🏦 Exchanges
    Binance / Bybit / MEXC
    📈 Signal type
    Daily trend following (Long)
    ⚡ Leverage
    Isolated, up to 3x
    🎯 Entry (filled)
    7.2937
    💰 TP 1 (close half)
    9.2450+26.77%
    💰 TP 2
    Trailing stop
    🛑 Stop loss
    6.3170-13.38%
    🔁 Current stop (moved)
    🟢

    BTC/USDT

    ▲ LONGTP1 hit — stop moved to entry50 d ago

    ⛔ Entry closed — this trade started 2026-08-20 00:00 UTC (found by a start-up replay, never sent live). Do not enter now; follow it to see how the rule performs.

    🏦 Exchanges
    Binance / Bybit / MEXC
    📈 Signal type
    Daily trend following (Long)
    ⚡ Leverage
    Isolated, up to 6x
    🎯 Entry (filled)
    69,317.03
    💰 TP 1 (close half)
    79,056.80+14.06%
    💰 TP 2
    Trailing stop
    🛑 Stop loss
    64,436.60-7.03%
    🔁 Current stop (moved)
    10 days
    TP1 = 1RTP2 = 2RLive test
    📝 Why this signal

    4-hour inverse head and shoulders: close 11.432 broke the neckline 11.267; measured target 12.8835.

    At TP 1 half the position is closed and the stop moves to the entry. A trade still open after 240 hours is closed.

    Result after fees: -1.03R

    153.500-7.10%
    ⌛ Max duration
    120 days
    TP1 = 2RLive testReplay · not sent live
    📝 Why this signal

    daily close 165.21 above the 20-day high 157.38 and above the 100-day EMA 115.771.

    The daily close broke above its 20-day high while above the 100-day trend line. The plan rides the trend: half is taken at TP 1, the rest follows a trailing stop that rises with the trend.

    At TP 1 half the position is closed and the stop moves to the entry. A trade still open after 2880 hours is closed.

    0.22320-8.94%
    ⌛ Max duration
    120 days
    TP1 = 2RLive testReplay · not sent live
    📝 Why this signal

    daily close 0.2451 above the 20-day high 0.2352 and above the 100-day EMA 0.202883.

    The daily close broke above its 20-day high while above the 100-day trend line. The plan rides the trend: half is taken at TP 1, the rest follows a trailing stop that rises with the trend.

    At TP 1 half the position is closed and the stop moves to the entry. A trade still open after 2880 hours is closed.

    0.19860-3.18%
    ⌛ Max duration
    120 days
    TP1 = 2RLive testReplay · not sent live
    📝 Why this signal

    daily close 0.2051 above the 20-day high 0.1902 and above the 100-day EMA 0.167756.

    The daily close broke above its 20-day high while above the 100-day trend line. The plan rides the trend: half is taken at TP 1, the rest follows a trailing stop that rises with the trend.

    At TP 1 half the position is closed and the stop moves to the entry. A trade still open after 2880 hours is closed.

    0.11189+6.56%
    ⌛ Max duration
    120 days
    TP1 = 2RLive testReplay · not sent live
    📝 Why this signal

    daily close 0.105 above the 20-day high 0.10312 and above the 100-day EMA 0.091587.

    The daily close broke above its 20-day high while above the 100-day trend line. The plan rides the trend: half is taken at TP 1, the rest follows a trailing stop that rises with the trend.

    At TP 1 half the position is closed and the stop moves to the entry. A trade still open after 2880 hours is closed.

    4.2450+74.03%
    ⌛ Max duration
    120 days
    TP1 = 2RLive testReplay · not sent live
    📝 Why this signal

    daily close 2.439 above the 20-day high 2.288 and above the 100-day EMA 1.83738.

    The daily close broke above its 20-day high while above the 100-day trend line. The plan rides the trend: half is taken at TP 1, the rest follows a trailing stop that rises with the trend.

    At TP 1 half the position is closed and the stop moves to the entry. A trade still open after 2880 hours is closed.

    0.08581+15.84%
    ⌛ Max duration
    120 days
    TP1 = 2RLive testReplay · not sent live
    📝 Why this signal

    daily close 0.07407 above the 20-day high 0.06929 and above the 100-day EMA 0.0694474.

    The daily close broke above its 20-day high while above the 100-day trend line. The plan rides the trend: half is taken at TP 1, the rest follows a trailing stop that rises with the trend.

    At TP 1 half the position is closed and the stop moves to the entry. A trade still open after 2880 hours is closed.

    9.6970+32.95%
    ⌛ Max duration
    120 days
    TP1 = 2RLive testReplay · not sent live
    📝 Why this signal

    daily close 7.293 above the 20-day high 6.986 and above the 100-day EMA 7.21216.

    The daily close broke above its 20-day high while above the 100-day trend line. The plan rides the trend: half is taken at TP 1, the rest follows a trailing stop that rises with the trend.

    At TP 1 half the position is closed and the stop moves to the entry. A trade still open after 2880 hours is closed.

    79,996.30+15.41%
    ⌛ Max duration
    120 days
    TP1 = 2RLive testReplay · not sent live
    📝 Why this signal

    daily close 69310 above the 20-day high 65482.7 and above the 100-day EMA 66401.8.

    The daily close broke above its 20-day high while above the 100-day trend line. The plan rides the trend: half is taken at TP 1, the rest follows a trailing stop that rises with the trend.

    At TP 1 half the position is closed and the stop moves to the entry. A trade still open after 2880 hours is closed.